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Since I'm not always one to put my neck on the line when it comes to predictions, I'm going to throw failure-caution to the wind (who, me?) and give my Oscar votes for tonight. I'll be at Amy's watching the entire show from beginning to end, wishing Donica in Germany could join us.
I've seen all the movies except 3 in the following major categories:
BEST PICTURE: I was most In Soul with "Finding Neverland" but predict "Million Dollar Baby" will win, in spite of it's controversial ending. The everyday-person
poll from the NY Times (us-uns) predicts "The Aviator." I hope they're wrong.
BEST DIRECTOR: Since "Aviator" was still such a good movie, I predict
Martin Scorsese, especially since he's never nabbed an Oscar, after 5 other nominations. He deserves it;
Clint Eastwood has already won it. And there are those times when the Best Director
is different from the Best Picture. So let the glory be shared again.
BEST ACTOR: Hands down, I predict and prefer
Jamie Foxx in "Ray." Anyone who can totally "get" a person's personality and mannerisms, without you noticing, deserves the prize. Besides, he's already won all the other Best Actor awards for this movie, so it wouldn't make sense to not get the Oscar! Not that the other nominees weren't good (they were nominated!).
BEST ACTRESS: This is where I can't be totally fair because I haven't yet seen Catalina Sandino Moreno in "Maria Full of Grace" or Imelda Staunton in "Vera Drake." Of the other 3, I predict and prefer
Hilary Swank. In real life, she's so self-effacing. How unusual for an actor/actress today! She was so gracious when she beat out
Annette Bening in 2000. I loved Bening in "Being Julia" but Hilary has my vote. I am saddened to hear, however that Bening's sister-in-law, with whom she was close, has just died of cancer after a 2-year battle.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Hands down again, I hope it's
Morgan Freeman in "Million $ Baby." I liked Thomas Haden Church in "Sideways" but Morgan, like Scorsese, should have won an Oscar years ago. It's time!
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: I haven't yet seen Laura Linney in "Kinsey," but of the other 4 movies, I'd vote for
Cate Blanchett in "Aviator." I loved her characterization of Katharine Hepburn and, while she's won many awards, she's never won an Oscar. She deserves one! I really liked Sophie Okonedo in "Hotel Rwanda" and Virginia Madsen in "Sideways," but think they could both get a few more movies under their belt before they win.
There you have it. Now, may we have the envelope, please!